Showing posts with label clean sheet. Show all posts
Showing posts with label clean sheet. Show all posts

Wednesday, February 6, 2013

Gameweek 26 Preview

The Double GameWeek Preview:
The teams in focus, are obviously Liverpool and Swansea, especially Liverpool with two games at home, one against Swansea (a team that suffers few goals, even in away games) and the other against WBA, that may give many joys for those with Liverpool players in the team. Bets will be obvious on Sturridge (if available), Gerrard and Suarez. On the side of Swansea despite being a double gameweek, can be very frustrating, because Swansea will play against QPR that only conceded 2 goals in the last 6 games. And the other game will be against Liverpool that has been very strong at home. So do not bet on many players from Swansea to the attack, and don't forget that in the next week Swansea and Liverpool will not play, and we have to be careful with the players we have available next week.

Then I would bet on Chelsea, Man Utd and Tottenham, as they can probably score goals in this week, the stakes are still in regular players, Mata, RVP, Rooney and Bale.

On the defense, the focus once again are on Liverpool and Swansea. For the defense, a bet on Liverpool players also could be a good bet, because the probability of having two clean sheets are high. Liverpool has been very strong defensively at home, with three goals conceded in six games and three clean sheets in a row. For this reason, bets on any of the defenders of Liverpool, could be good bets. I would bet on Johnson or Jose Enrique. 
Unlike the attack, I think a bet on Swansea's defense might not be a bad bet, especially in the QPR game, which can give a clean sheet for Swansea.
There are four more teams that have some probability of not conceding goals, Man City, Chelsea, Arsenal and Norwich City.

Monday, January 28, 2013

Gameweek 24 Picks


 Supported in the graphs I posted below and in my ideas for this week, these would be my choices for the top players:



GOALKEEPERS:
Hart - I think that will be the surest bet in search of a clean sheet.
Mignolet - I think Sunderland can have a clean sheet this week. Sunderland has been defensively strong at home.
LLloris - I think tottenham can get an easy win against Norwich.





DEFENDERS:
Lescott - Lescott may have a clean sheet and as a player who scores goals on a regular basis (not so much this year ...) may be a good bet.

Zabaleta - The same that was written for Lescott, but with the bonus of being in great form.

Evra - The focus is not so much because of the clean sheet (which can happen) but rather in the hope of an assist or goal, because it is in great form.

O'Shea & Riether - These are bets on clean sheet.



MIDFIELDERS
Gerrard - Although the dificult game, I think Liverpool will score goals against Arsenal and I think Gerrard could be involved in goals. Another player in great form.
Mata - Also in great form and with a game relatively easy to win.
Walcott - One of the best player in the fantasy premier league this year. It would be impossible not to be here.
Dempsey - This week he will probably play behind defoe, this advanced position in the field  may give you a few more points
Lampard - Even with penalties, Lampard continues to score.


STRIKERS
Van Persie - Obvious. It's necessary to say something?
Ba - With the rest in the last game, Ba will be probably in the starting 11 and can be a strong pick.
Giroud - 4 goals in his last two games are enough to be here :)

For this week's choices I did not have in mind the budget, but I did not want to choose more than 3 players from each team.

Friday, January 25, 2013

Gameweek 24 - Attack and more

As we can see from the chart, we have 3 teams statistically most likely to score goals this week. Man Utd, Chelsea and Arsenal are my bets to score goals for this week . Even with a tough game ahead. Even with a tough game ahead, Arsenal will have ample opportunity to make goals since liverpool suffer many goals away from home. The bet on Man Utd will be obvious as it will be the best offense at home against the 2nd worst defense in away games.

Here there are no big surprises, because the top players are obvious choices. One of the best players that is not in this week's top places is Michu, because of his recent poor games, and the game against sunderland, that has a good ranking in home games, does not help. Another regular player who is not on top is Bale, also due to his recent poor form.



My bets on Goalkeeper will be on Goalkeepers of the teams from the previous post, ie, those that are more likely to have a clean sheet.


In the defense, I will also bet on the defenders of the teams most likely to have a clean sheet.

Wednesday, January 23, 2013

Gameweek 24 - Looking for a clean sheet


Here are the values ​​for the defense strength, i.e., the probability of a clean sheet.
Unsurprisingly we can see Man City in the first place. The reasons for being the most likely team to have a clean sheet are the recent good form and the solid defense. May be considered weird teams that occupy the 2nd and 3rd luga, Fulham and Sunderland. Sunderland has a relatively solid defense at home and will have as an opponent a team that has scored few goals in away games.
Fulham will rival a team that just scored 2 goals in the last 5 away games. For these reasons the perfect team of the gameweak 24, may have defenses and a goalkeeper of these 3 teams